Sunday, January 25, 2015

Friday January 23, 2015 TS TradePlan E-mini Dow Futures Chart Review

This chart shows how TS TradePlan for the E-mini Dow Futures played out during the trading session. TS TradePlan is posted every nigh prior to London open for the following trading session. From 2009 - 2015 the trade plan was posted on this blog and is now exclusively available as part of the full TS TradePlan, which also includes ES 6E CL GC, or as a single instrument.

YM TS TradePlan Chart for the E-mini Dow Futures - Friday January 23, 2015

The above chart shows the TS #'s and Execution/Target Zones for YM from Friday's TS TradePlan and how price played out in real-time in relation to the trade plan. It does not show the Contract Notes or Macro Technical View.

Thursday, January 22, 2015

Thursday 22, 2015 ES YM 6E CL GC Futures Chart Reviews

YM TS TradePlan Chart for the E-mini Dow - Thursday January 22, 2015

ES TS TradePlan Chart Review for the E-mini S&P-500 - Thursday January 22, 2015

6E TS TradePlan Chart for the Euro - Thursday January 22, 2015

CL TS TradePlan Chart for Oil - Thursday January 22, 2015

Wednesday, January 21, 2015

This about sums up 2015 so far for me!

Today I thought we would take a look at the trade alerts and specifically YM. I want to focus on YM because after all YM has been the main focus of this blog and additionally I plan to bring more equity/YM back into my own trading this year.

As most of you reading this know I stopped posting the YM trading plan on the blog last Friday January 16, 2015, after doing so every night for for nearly 6 years. The trading plan for Sunday Globex open on January 18, 2015 was the first trading plan created specifically for myself and clients. 

Still that leaves an outlet to share things here that will be helpful to the trading community, for those that for whatever reason only want free stuff, i.e. not TS TradePlan clients. And that's cool. I don't mind providing : )

I posted early on StockTwits/Twitter that we have been trading inside the same Execution/Target Zones since Sunday Globex open on January 18, 2015 and that the TS #'s and Execution/Target Zones have not changed since. It is now mid day Tuesday January 21, 2015 and we are using the same Execution/Target Zones:
Sunday January 18, 2015 Globex open
Sunday January 18, 2015 Globex open - Tuesday January 20, 2015

Wednesday January 21, 2015

Anyway this morning at around 7:45 AM PST and after YM had already found support at Range Long it looked like we were about to momo up so I tweeted such. Sure enough what followed was a nearly 100 tick march up towards Range Short were we promptly found resistance:



Again these are the same Range Long and Range Shorts that have been in existence since the January 18, 2015 Sunday Globex open.

About 9:45 AM PST we started looking at the idea of a range expansion up to break the Range Short / Range Long resistance and support prevalent all week and towards 17667 TS # at top of Highest Odds Short FTU. 

We got long 17457 with initial risk at 17439 on the first low around 9:50 and rode it up to the high at 17494. No scales for me I was looking for a new HOD as noted in the tweet below, some clients may have, there was certainly the option for scales and risk free on cost basis when we hit + 37 MFE. 


Then on the next dip we stalked long again .. this time for a c/b below 17440 TS #. We got filled 437 and 433 on the low tick with a stop at 409 (1 tick over day's LIS) with the premise that day's LIS should not tick again IF the move in fact was going to be up to test HOD at Range Short and potentially over to 17667 TS # at top of day's Highest Odds Short FTU.


YM then traded up to a 17465 high providing nearly 30 ticks of MFE on the long. The option was there for conservative traders to take scratch on the 457 unit and reduce risk on the lower 437/433 adds:



Of course I didn't because you know I'm a pig and the theme this year has been ALL IN for targets so no scale / reduced risk for me. Here is what happened next...


I don't know what the moral of the story is and even though I haven't changed strategy I'm still re-reading this post: "Sports, Trading, and the Psychology of Improvement". Must. Keep. Pressing. On. 

The overall odds are in my favor. I know this. Just frustrating starting any "measurable period" i.e, this year, in such an unexpected and disappointing manner. Personally. The trade plan, however, has been $$. Which makes it even more frustrating :)

- TS

Tuesday, January 20, 2015

Sunday Globex open January 18, 2015 - Tuesday January 20, 2015 E-mini Dow Futures Chart Review

Sunday Globex open January 18, 2015 - Tuesday January 20, 2015 E-mini Dow Futures Chart Review

Saturday, January 17, 2015

Friday January 16, 2015 E-mini Dow Futures Chart Review

Note: We have been posting the YM trading plan here on the blog prior to London open for the following trading session for all traders to use since May 2009.

Starting Monday January 19, 2015 we will no longer be publicly posting the YM trade plan on the blog ahead of the trading session. Instead we will post a an end of day review for the YM. 

How Friday's session played out in real time is shown in the charts below. Friday's YM TS TradePlan, the last public one, can be found below this post. 

If you have appreciated the YM trade plan and would like to continue to use the daily trading plan for YM it is available just as it has been as part of our full package TS TradePlan that includes ES YM 6E CL GC or as a single instrument stand alone.

I want to thank everyone who has relied on our research over the years for your confidence in our analysis.

-TS
Friday January 16, 2015 YM TS TradePlan E-mini Dow Chart Review

Thursday, January 15, 2015

TS TradePlan for the YM E-mini Dow Futures - Friday January 16, 2015

TraderSmarts Numbers for YM (H)
19773, 17957, 17952, 17939, 17898, 17876, 17853, 17844, 17821, 17802, 17775, 17771, 17754, 17734, 17723, 17704, 17667,  17642, 17616, 17606, 17588, 17544, 17522, 17505, 17490, 17474, 17460, 17446, 17440, 17408, 17392, 17380, 17370, 17353, 17341, 17296, 17272, 17230, 17183, 17158, 17127, 17092, 17077, 17050, 17018, 16985, 16970, 16950, 16919, 16895, 16866, 16853

YM Contract Notes: 17230 TS # is LIS Friday.  

Macro Technical View: Neutral bias after selling from weak high into 2024.75 MTS # ES.

YM Execution/Target Zones: 
17667 Extreme Short
17370 - 17353 Highest Odds Short FTU
17296 - 17272 Range Short
17158 Range Long
17077 - 17050 Highest Odds Long FTD
16866 - 16853 Extreme Long

Special Note: All good things must eventually come to an end. We have been posting the YM trading plan here on the blog prior to London open for the following trading session for all traders to use, for free, since May 2009.

Starting Monday January 19, 2015 we will no longer be publicly posting the YM trade plan on the blog ahead of the trading session. Instead we will post a an end of day review for the YM.

If you have appreciated the YM trade plan and would like to continue to use the daily trading plan for YM it is available just as it has been as part of our full package TS TradePlan that includes ES YM 6E CL GC or as a single instrument stand alone.

I want to thank everyone who has relied on our analysis over the years. Thank you for your confidence in our work.

- TS
Trade smart and trade well!

All Charts shown with the TS TradePlan Indicator

YM TS TradePlan Chart for the E-mini Dow - Thursday January 15, 2015

YM TS TradePlan Chart for the E-mini Dow - Thursday January 15, 2015

6E TS TradePlan Chart for the Euro - Thursday January 15, 2015


CL TS TradePlan Chart for Oil - Thursday January 15, 2015


GC TS TradePlan Chart for Gold - Thursday January 15, 2015

Precise Trading Plans and Trade Alerts for the E-Mini S&P-500 (ES), E-Mini Dow (YM), Euro (6E), Oil (CL) and Gold (GC) — Click Here to Access

Wednesday, January 14, 2015

TS TradePlan for the YM E-mini Dow Futures - Thursday January 15, 2015

TraderSmarts Numbers for YM (H)
18114, 18043, 18037, 18000, 19773, 17957, 17952, 17939, 17898, 17876, 17853, 17844, 17821, 17802, 17775, 17771, 17754, 17734, 17723, 17704, 17667,  17642, 17616, 17606, 17588, 17544, 17522, 17505, 17490, 17474, 17460, 17446, 17440, 17408, 17392, 17380, 17370, 17353, 17341, 17296, 17272, 17230, 17183, 17158, 17127, 17092, 17077, 17050, 17018, 16985, 16970, 16950 Support and resistance on the YM E-mini Futures

YM Contract Notes: 17353 TS # is LIS Thursday.  

Macro Technical View: Neutral bias after selling from weak high into 2024.75 MTS # ES.

YM Execution/Target Zones: 
17734 - 17723 Extreme Short
17616 - 17606 Highest Odds Short FTU
17460 - 17446 Range Short
17296 - 17272 Range Long 
17230 Highest Odds Long FTD
17077 - 17050 Extreme Long

Trade smart and trade well!

All Charts shown with the TS TradePlan Indicator

YM TS TradePlan Chart for the E-mini Dow - Wednesday Jan 14, 2015

6E TS TradePlan Chart for the Euro - Wednesday Jan 14, 2015

CL TS TradePlan Chart for Oil - Wednesday Jan 14, 2015

GC TS TradePlan Chart for Gold - Wednesday Jan 14, 2015

Precise Trading Plans and Trade Alerts for the E-Mini S&P-500 (ES), E-Mini Dow (YM), Euro (6E), Oil (CL) and Gold (GC) — Click Here to Access

Tuesday, January 13, 2015

TS TradePlan for the YM E-mini Dow Futures - Wednesday January 14, 2015

TraderSmarts Numbers for YM (H)
18114, 18043, 18037, 18000, 19773, 17957, 17952, 17939, 17898, 17876, 17853, 17844, 17821, 17802, 17775, 17771, 17754, 17734, 17723, 17704, 17667,  17642, 17616, 17606, 17588, 17544, 17522, 17505, 17490, 17474, 17460, 17446, 17440, 17408, 17392, 17380, 17370, 17353, 17341, 17296, 17278, 17230, 17183, 17158, 17127, 17092, 17077, 17050, 17018, 16985, 16970, 16950 Support and resistance on the YM E-mini Futures

YM Contract Notes: 17544 TS # is LIS Wednesday.  

Macro Technical View: Neutral bias after selling from weak high into 2024.75 MTS # ES.

YM Execution/Target Zones: 
17734 - 17723 Extreme Short
17667 Highest Odds Short FTU
17616 - 16606 Range Short
17408 - 17380 Range Long 
17230 Highest Odds Long FTD
17077 Extreme Long

Trade smart and trade well!

All Charts shown with the TS TradePlan Indicator

YM TS TradePlan Chart for the E-mini Dow - Tuesday January 13, 2015

Monday, January 12, 2015

TS TradePlan for the YM E-mini Dow Futures - Tuesday January 13, 2015

TraderSmarts Numbers for YM (H)
18114, 18043, 18037, 18000, 19773, 17957, 17952, 17939, 17898, 17876, 17853, 17844, 17821, 17802, 17775, 17771, 17754, 17734, 17723, 17704, 17667,  17642, 17616, 17606, 17588, 17544, 17522, 17505, 17490, 17474, 17460, 17446, 17440, 17408, 17392, 17380, 17370, 17353, 17341, 17296, 17278, 17183, 17158, 17127, 17092, 17077, 17050, 17018, 16985, 16970, 16950, 16919 Support and resistance on the YM E-mini Futures

YM Contract Notes: 17642 TS # is LIS Tuesday.  

Macro Technical View: Neutral bias.

YM Execution/Target Zones: 
17898 - 17876 Extreme Short
17734 - 17723 Highest Odds Short FTU
17616 - 16606 Range Short
17522 - 17490 Range Long 
17408 - 17380 Highest Odds Long FTD
17077 Extreme Long

Trade smart and trade well!

All Charts shown with the TS TradePlan Indicator

YM TS TradePlan Chart for the E-mini Dow - Monday January 12, 2015


GC TS TradePlan Chart for Gold - Monday January 12, 2015


Precise Trading Plans and Trade Alerts for the E-Mini S&P-500 (ES), E-Mini Dow (YM), Euro (6E), Oil (CL) and Gold (GC) — Click Here to Access

Sunday, January 11, 2015

TS TradePlan for the YM E-mini Dow Futures - Monday January 12, 2015

TraderSmarts Numbers for YM (H)
18114, 18043, 18037, 18000, 19773, 17957, 17952, 17939, 17898, 17876, 17853, 17844, 17821, 17802, 17775, 17771, 17754, 17734, 17723, 17704, 17667,  17642, 17616, 17588, 17544, 17522, 17505, 17490, 17474, 17460, 17446, 17440, 17408, 17392, 17380, 17370, 17353, 17341, 17296, 17278, 17183, 17158, 17127, 17092, 17077, 17050, 17018, 16985, 16970, 16950, 16919, 16895 Support and resistance on the YM E-mini Futures

YM Contract Notes: 17667 TS # is LIS Monday.  

Macro Technical View: Neutral bias after selling from weak high into 2024.75 MTS # ES.

YM Execution/Target Zones: 
18114 Extreme Short
17898 - 17876 Highest Odds Short FTU
17734 - 17723 Range Short
17522 - 17490 Range Long 
17408 - 17380 Highest Odds Long FTD
17077 Extreme Long

Trade smart and trade well!

All Charts shown with the TS TradePlan Indicator

YM TS TradePlan Chart for the E-mini Dow - Friday January 9, 2015

CL TS TradePlan Chart for oil - Friday January 9, 2015

6E TS TradePlan Chart for the Euro - Friday January 9, 2015

Precise Trading Plans and Trade Alerts for the E-Mini S&P-500 (ES), E-Mini Dow (YM), Euro (6E), Oil (CL) and Gold (GC) — Click Here to Access

Thursday, January 8, 2015

TS TradePlan for the YM E-mini Dow Futures - Friday January 9, 2015

TraderSmarts Numbers for YM (H)
18270, 18114, 18043, 18037, 18000, 19773, 17957, 17952, 17939, 17898, 17879, 17853, 17844, 17821, 17802, 17775, 17771, 17754, 17734, 17723, 17704, 17667,  17642, 17616, 17588, 17544, 17522, 17505, 17490, 17474, 17460, 17446, 17440, 17408, 17392, 17370, 17353, 17341, 17296, 17278, 17183, 17158, 17127, 17092, 17077, 17050, 17018, 16985, 16970, 16950, 16919, 16895 Support and resistance on the YM E-mini Dow Futures

YM Contract Notes: 17704 TS # is LIS Friday. NFP. Under Extreme Long and holding and can target 17077. 

Macro Technical View: Neutral bias after selling from weak high into 2024.75 MTS # ES.

YM Execution/Target Zones: 
18114 Extreme Short
17957 Highest Odds Short FTU
17898 - 17879 Range Short
17667 - 17642 Range Long 
17522 - 17490 Highest Odds Long FTD
17408 - 17392 Extreme Long

Trade smart and trade well!

All Charts shown with the TS TradePlan Indicator

YM TS TradePlan Chart for the E-mini Dow - Thursday January 8, 2015

Wednesday, January 7, 2015

TS TradePlan for the YM E-mini Dow Futures - Thursday January 8, 2015

TraderSmarts Numbers for YM (H)
18043, 18037, 18000, 19773, 17957, 17952, 17939, 17898, 17883, 17853, 17844, 17821, 17802, 17775, 17771, 17754, 17734, 17723, 17704, 17661,  17642, 17616, 17588, 17544, 17521, 17505, 17490, 17474, 17460, 17446, 17440, 17408, 17389, 17380, 17370, 17353, 17341, 17296, 17278, 17183, 17158, 17127, 17092, 17077, 17050, 17018, 16985, 16970, 16950, 16919, 16895 

YM Contract Notes: 17544 TS # is LIS Thursday. 

Macro Technical View: Neutral bias after selling from weak high into 2024.75 MTS # ES.

YM Execution/Target Zones: 
18043 Extreme Short
17898 - 17883 Highest Odds Short FTU
17723 - 17704 Range Short
17505 - 17490 Range Long 
17408 - 17380 Highest Odds Long FTD
17077 Extreme Long

Trade smart and trade well!


All Charts shown with the TS TradePlan Indicator

YM TS TradePlan Chart for the E-mini Dow - Wednesday January 7, 2015

CL TS TradePlan Chart for Oil - Wednesday January 7, 2015

GC TS TradePlan Chart for Gold - Wednesday January 7, 2015


Tuesday, January 6, 2015

TS TradePlan for the YM E-mini Dow Futures - Wednesday January 7, 2015

TraderSmarts Numbers for YM (H)
18043, 18037, 18000, 19773, 17957, 17952, 17939, 17898, 17883, 17853, 17844, 17821, 17802, 17775, 17771, 17754, 17734, 17704, 17661,  17642, 17616, 17588, 17544, 17521, 17505, 17490, 17474, 17460, 17446, 17440, 17389, 17370, 17353, 17341, 17296, 17278, 17183, 17158, 17127, 17092, 17073, 17050, 17018, 16985, 16970, 16950, 16919, 16895, 16866, 16858, 16845 Support and resistance on the YM E-mini Futures

YM Contract Notes: 17296 TS # is LIS Wednesday. Have to comment on the unusually large distance between Execution/Target Zones. Pick your target (long or short) and hold for it. 

Macro Technical View: Rejection from 17955 MTS # in Z contract on last high. This high looks weak. Looking to short these highs heading into the new year. YM clients note that the MTS # target down from the weak high was hit in ES Monday 12/5/14 at 2024.75 MTS # ES. Immediate bias shifts to neutral on initial target down hit.

YM Execution/Target Zones: 
17704 Extreme Short
17616 - 17588 Highest Odds Short FTU
17389 - 17370 Range Short
17158 Range Long 
17077 Highest Odds Long FTD
16919 - 16895 Extreme Long

Monday, January 5, 2015

TS TradePlan for the YM E-mini Dow Futures - Tuesday January 6, 2015

TraderSmarts Numbers for YM (H)
18043, 18037, 18000, 19773, 17957, 17952, 17939, 17898, 17883, 17853, 17844, 17821, 17802, 17775, 17771, 17754, 17734, 17704, 17661,  17642, 17616, 17588, 17544, 17521, 17505, 17490, 17474, 17460, 17446, 17440, 17389, 17370, 17353, 17341, 17296, 17278, 17183, 17158, 17127, 17092, 17073, 17050, 17018, 16985, 16970, 16950, 16919, 16895, 16866, 16858, 16845 Support and resistance on the YM E-mini Futures

YM Contract Notes: 17446 TS # is LIS Tuesday. Another strange day in the sense that Range Long / Range Short are 200 ticks apart. Pick your target (long or short) and hold for it. Yesterday (Monday) distance was 300 ticks and we had the largest daily range since 12/18/2014. 

Macro Technical View: Rejection from 17955 MTS # in Z contract on last high. This high looks weak. Looking to short these highs heading into the new year. YM clients note that the MTS # target down from the weak high was hit in ES Monday at 2024.75 MTS # ES. Immediate bias shifts to neutral on initial target down hit.

YM Execution/Target Zones: 
17853 Extreme Short
17661 - 17642 Highest Odds Short FTU
17616 - 17588 Range Short
17370 - 17353 Range Long 
17341 Highest Odds Long FTD
17296 - 17278 Extreme Long

Sunday, January 4, 2015

TS TradePlan for the YM E-mini Dow Futures - Monday January 5, 2015

TraderSmarts Numbers for YM (H)
18396, 18208, 18112, 18084, 18043, 18037, 18000, 19773, 17957, 17952, 17939, 17898, 17883, 17853, 17844, 17821, 17802, 17775, 17771, 17754, 17734, 17704, 17661,  17642, 17591, 17544, 17521, 17505, 17490, 17474, 17460, 17446, 17440, 17389, 17370, 17353, 17341, 17296, 17278, 17183, 17158, 17127, 17092, 17073, 17050, 17018, 16985, 16970, 16950, 16919, 16895, 16866, 16858, 16845 Support and resistance on the YM E-mini Futures

YM Contract Notes: 17754 TS # is LIS Monday. Unusually large distance between Range Short and Range Long. May pay to key trades off of day's LIS targeting the short / long Execution/Target Zones. Under and holding Extreme Long and can go to any low.

Macro Technical View: Rejection from 17955 MTS # in Z contract on last high. This high looks weak. Looking to short these highs heading into the new year. 

YM Execution/Target Zones: 
18208 Extreme Short
17957 - 17939 Highest Odds Short FTU
17853 - 17844 Range Short
17545 Range Long 
17505 - 17490 Highest Odds Long FTD
17460 - 17440 Extreme Long

Trade smart and trade well!

All Charts shown with the TS TradePlan Indicator

YM TS TradePlan Chart Review for the E-mini Dow Futures - Friday January 2, 2015


GC TS TradePlan Chart Review for the Gold - Friday January 2, 2015


Thursday, January 1, 2015

TS TradePlan for the YM E-mini Dow Futures - Friday January 2, 2015

TraderSmarts Numbers for YM (H)
18396, 18112, 18084, 18043, 18037, 18000, 19773, 17957, 17952, 17898, 17883, 17853, 17844, 17821, 17802, 17775, 17771, 17754, 17734, 17704, 17661,  17642, 17591, 17544, 17521, 17505, 17490, 17474, 17460, 17446, 17440, 17389, 17370, 17353, 17341, 17296, 17278, 17183, 17158, 17127, 17092, 17073, 17050, 17018, 16985, 16970, 16950, 16919, 16895, 16866, 16858, 16845 Support becomes resistance and vice versa.

YM Contract Notes: 17883 TS # is LIS Friday. Over and holding HOS FTU and can squeeze. Under Range Long and can sell. 

Macro Technical View: Rejection from 17955 MTS # in Z contract on last high. This high looks weak. Looking to short these highs heading into the new year. 

YM Execution/Target Zones: 
18396 Extreme Short
17898 - 17883 Highest Odds Short FTU
17853 - 17844 Range Short
17754 - 17734 Range Long 
17545 Highest Odds Long FTD
17505 - 17490 Extreme Long

Trade smart and trade well!

All Charts shown with the TS TradePlan Indicator

YM TS TradePlan Chart Review for the E-mini Dow Futures - Wednesday  December 31, 2014

CL TS TradePlan Chart Review for the Oil Futures - Wednesday  December 31, 2014


Precise Trading Plans and Trade Alerts for the E-Mini S&P-500 (ES), E-Mini Dow (YM), Euro (6E), Oil (CL) and Gold (GC) — Click Here to Access